Saturday, November 28, 2020

How Trump Wins This Week

Pennsylvania -- awesome development and momentum. court decision last night cleared the way for the Pennsylvania legislature to take control of the appointment of Electors.  Resolution put forth by Mastriano would also ask U.S. Congress to declare the election to be disputed. If Pennsylvania Legislature fails, then an appeal to the Supreme Court  in Trump's suit will be made through Samuel Alito, who issued the Nov. 6 order to state officials.

Wisconsin -- recount is resolved in two counties as requested by Trump. Biden gained 162 votes officials. Trump campaign was able to identify large tranches of ballots to be challenged for various, far more than would necessary to flip the lead back to Trump. Application of the criteria established in this Supreme Court decision from May should result in a Trump win.

Georgia -- people I follow on Twitter seem very sanguine that between the lawsuits of Lin Wood and Sidney Powell, and whatever is going on behind the scenes, enough challengeable ballots will identified that the Supreme Court would throw them out, and restore the lead for Trump.

These states, if they cast Electors for Trump, would give him the win on Dec. 14. If they fail to award them past the 8th of December, this would drag Biden below 270 and send the Election to the House with the 12th Amendment, where Trump would almost certainly win at that point.

Michigan, Arizona and Nevada are also on the table as backups of course, but the three states above are the ones that the smart people I follow have been saying are Trump's strongest and shortest path to victory.

Pennsylvania may clear itself up. In Wisconsin and Georgia it may be necessary to appeal to the Supreme Court, who will decide whether to exclude tranches of ballots identified by the Trump campaign and other private litigants as invalid. How would they rule on such a thing?

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