Thursday, May 5, 2016

Hillary is Already Losing Her Mind

I can't believe I'm saying this, but maybe Bernie has a chance at the nomination after all.

This sort of reminds me how back in the 1980's, French people would tell me that Ronald Reagan was a "cowboy," as if that was some kind of insult. Back then I hated Reagan, and would have been eager to agree with any insult directed at him, but this one struck me as weird: didn't they realize that Americans like cowboys?

Electorally, it is over. Hillary has beaten him. She has many more votes and elected delegates, and he is not going to catch up. On purely, ahem, democratic terms, Sanders has no case anymore.

But the "wisdom" of having unelected superdelegates in the Democratic Party to act as a counterweight to the popular vote of the primaries means that in practical terms, the situation is a draw. The entire Democratic Party race is now about the super delegates. Nothing else matters really.  Collectively, they alone will choose between the two candidates. The rest of the primary calendar from here out is a beauty contest. Sure it would be nice optics for Bernie to win big in California, but it doesn't really matter.

Ironically Sanders has to make a doubly-undemocratic case for his nomination. He must flat out urge that non-elected superdelegates take things into their own hands, and moreover they must do so in contradiction to the overall popular vote (Socialism, anyone?). Ironically this position puts him not far away from having to adopt Ted Cruz's strategy of delegate snitching against the popular will.

None of that is going to work, of course, unless something happens to change the trajectory as it currently is playing out.  Sanders can't waste his time trying to convince the super delegates because he doesn't have a case. The only hope for him at this point is get Hillary to quit on her own, or to take herself out somehow.

As I've mentioned, Trump seems to have a superpower to make his opponents believe they can play by (what they perceive to be) his own set of loose rules. The more they attempt this, the quicker they destroy themselves.

Two days after Indiana it is apparent that Hillary is well underway on this path, frighteningly so. She tweets about Trump incessantly. Getting a hairdo like him is almost pathologically weird.

Things may move quicker than I thought. I can't pretend to know the slightest thing about how federal prosecution of espionage works, and I don't ever want to know much, but suddenly it doesn't seem so farfetched that the dam holding back the FBI investigation may break. Hillary's own behavior may play a part in how quickly that happens.

But maybe it won't even take an actual indictment, just the possibility of one as part of some toxic brew in her mind. It may not take a physical health problem either. It may just take Hillary losing it over the Donald at an increasingly alarming rate, in a personal, obsessive way, sort of like Herbert Lom's Inspector Dreyfus character going insane over Clouseau at the end of The Pink Panther Strikes Again.

I'm beginning to think it could happen sooner rather than later.* If so, it will clear the path for the superdelegates to vote for Bernie. Of course one can speculate that could also team up with Hillary's delegates to choose someone else entirely (like Biden). If so, the Democratic convention could play out like many thought the Republican one would.

In any case, apparently we gave Hillary more credit than she deserves. I took her at her word of toughness. I assumed she could take it, but she is turning into a dumpster fire at a rate that makes Ted Cruz look like Ironman for holding out for so long under the withering pummeling. Maybe she really is an empty vessel as her worst critics say. The only reason she has held up so far is because she had gotten a free pass all along the way. At times, Sanders has even played white-knight for her.

Whatever you say about Bernie, he certainly won't fall into the trap that others have made, of trying to out-Trump Donald Trump. Like him or not, he's too much in his own groove, doing his own thing,  almost oblivious to everything around him on a certain level. That's not going to change. Whether America wants that is a different issue, but at least he is mentally stable enough to make it to November. Hillary probably isn't.
In honor of Cinco de Trumpo, Hillary is  distributing Donald Trump's new Mexican business cards.

*The nightmare scenario for Democrats would be that Hillary would lose it, and become an embarassment, but only after she secures the nomination in July. They would be stuck with her, and things might well play out according the scenario predicted by cartoonist Scott Adams a couple weeks ago:


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